MSTR
MSTR
1863.07
+2.34%
CompressingRVOL 2.0× · elevated
VWAP1862.76Volume27.97MHigh1915.95Low1810.19
MSTR1771.645 minBelow VWAP78 candles…
Mock candles · 0 custom levels · timeframe-scaled noiseData from 10:05 PM → 04:30 AM
Setup Detectors…
3 / 28 firing · 5mfailed_breakdownScore 77
- ✓ pushed below 1751.62 support and reclaimed above — trapped sellers
- ✓ shallow false-breakdown
- ✓ reclaimed breakdown candle's open
Entry zone
1751.62–1759.12
Invalidation
1751.35
Target
1826.64
green_to_redScore 50
- ✓ opened 0.3% above prev close 1831.70
- ✓ lost prev close at 1771.64
- ✓ loss sustained (last 2 candles)
Entry zone
1826.20–1831.70
Invalidation
1837.20
Target
1795.07
ma_pullbackScore 68
- ✓ pullback to 9-MA at 1768.23
- ✓ MA rising (+0.02% over 8 bars)
- ✓ price right at MA
- ✓ RVOL 2.0×
- ⚠ no volume contraction
Entry zone
1768.23–1773.54
Invalidation
1762.93
Target
1790.28
Mock-signal scanner output (Layer 2 will run real detectors instead)
81
Market alignedR/R 2.3
Evidence:
- ✓ QQQ aligned strong
- ✓ 9 EMA reclaim with hold
- ✓ room to premarket high
- ✓ higher low formed
Entry zone
1856.21–1869.93
Invalidation
1828.75
Targets
1910.57 / 1942.24
Risk · Position Sizing
MSTRSuggested size6 shR/R2.25Stop distance14.90Real risk$89.43
Quality 73/100
Trade-risk guard: $100.00 max0.89% of account
VWAP Status
CompressingTight to VWAP — wait for resolution rather than guessing direction.
Price1863.07VWAP1862.76Distance+0.31 (0.02%)ATR multiple0.17×Day high1915.95Day low1810.19
−2 ATRVWAP+2 ATR
Spread & Liquidity
Bid
1861.18
Spread
3.77
0.202% of price
Ask
1864.96
wide spreadavg trade 1434 sh
Slippage simulator
Slippage / share$2.016Total slippage cost$201.64Avg 1m volume71.7KLiquidity-safe size3585 sh
within liquidity
Market Context
Mixed — independent moveSPY+0.29%alignedρ 0.12
QQQ+0.72%aligned ↑ρ 0.31
IWM-0.19%fightingρ -0.08
VIX+6.71%fighting ↓ρ -0.35
ρ = direction-and-magnitude proxy (mock). Real rolling beta + correlation in Phase 2 with live feeds.
Gap Analysis
Gap fill rejectedGap fill rejected. Continuation likely if VWAP holds.
Gap %+1.37%Gap $+24.96Open / Prev close1850.00 / 1825.04Premarket H/L1900.33 / 1825.81Above PM high—RVOL2.0×
Gap fill progress
0% (held)0% filled100% (closed)
Stop & Target Planner
Tied to market structure — invalidates the thesis when broken
⚠ Distance can be inconsistent; sometimes too wide for risk
Project the prior leg from breakout point
Entry
1863.07
Stop
1810.19
Target
1968.83
Stop dist
52.88
Target dist
105.76
R/R
2.00
Market Structure
MTF 50Multi-TF alignment
Conflicting (5m / 1h)
5m: above 9-MA · 1h: below 9-MA
Last candle
marubozu (bear)
close at lows (bear strength)
Room to target
Tight
Only -17.15 to next resistance — R/R will be poor on longs
Regime shift
Stable
Stable regime
Liquidity zones (where stops cluster)
● 30-bar high (resistance)1845.92
● 30-bar low (support)1751.35
● premarket high1900.33
● premarket low1825.81
Supply / Demand zones
▼ Supply zone 1781.971781.97
▼ Supply zone 1776.561776.56
▼ Supply zone 1776.321776.32
Key Levels
intradayDay high1915.95-2.84%
premarketPremarket high1900.33-2.00%
intradayVWAP1862.76+0.02%
intradayOpen1850.00+0.70%
premarketPremarket low1825.81+2.00%
dailyPrev close1825.04+2.04%
intradayDay low1810.19+2.84%
Closest level: VWAP @ 1862.76 (0.02% away)
News & catalysts
neutral
Fed minutes show split on next move
FT · 2h ago