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SPY+0.29%QQQ+0.72%IWM-0.19%VIX+6.71%
Closedlive0.8% / 2.0% openSign in
MSTR
MSTR
1863.07
+2.34%
CompressingRVOL 2.0× · elevated
VWAP1862.76Volume27.97MHigh1915.95Low1810.19
MSTR1771.645 minBelow VWAP78 candles
Mock candles · 0 custom levels · timeframe-scaled noiseData from 10:05 PM04:30 AM

Setup Detectors

3 / 28 firing · 5m
failed_breakdownScore 77
  • pushed below 1751.62 support and reclaimed above — trapped sellers
  • shallow false-breakdown
  • reclaimed breakdown candle's open
Entry zone
1751.621759.12
Invalidation
1751.35
Target
1826.64
green_to_redScore 50
  • opened 0.3% above prev close 1831.70
  • lost prev close at 1771.64
  • loss sustained (last 2 candles)
Entry zone
1826.201831.70
Invalidation
1837.20
Target
1795.07
ma_pullbackScore 68
  • pullback to 9-MA at 1768.23
  • MA rising (+0.02% over 8 bars)
  • price right at MA
  • RVOL 2.0×
  • no volume contraction
Entry zone
1768.231773.54
Invalidation
1762.93
Target
1790.28

Mock-signal scanner output (Layer 2 will run real detectors instead)

MSTRGap Fill5m6m ago
81
Market alignedR/R 2.3
Evidence:
  • QQQ aligned strong
  • 9 EMA reclaim with hold
  • room to premarket high
  • higher low formed
Entry zone
1856.211869.93
Invalidation
1828.75
Targets
1910.57 / 1942.24
Open symbol

Risk · Position Sizing

MSTR
Suggested size6 shR/R2.25Stop distance14.90Real risk$89.43
Quality 73/100
Trade-risk guard: $100.00 max0.89% of account

VWAP Status

Compressing

Tight to VWAP — wait for resolution rather than guessing direction.

Price1863.07VWAP1862.76Distance+0.31 (0.02%)ATR multiple0.17×Day high1915.95Day low1810.19
−2 ATRVWAP+2 ATR

Spread & Liquidity

Bid
1861.18
Spread
3.77
0.202% of price
Ask
1864.96
wide spreadavg trade 1434 sh
Slippage simulator
Slippage / share$2.016Total slippage cost$201.64Avg 1m volume71.7KLiquidity-safe size3585 sh
within liquidity

Market Context

Mixed — independent move
SPY+0.29%alignedρ 0.12
QQQ+0.72%aligned ↑ρ 0.31
IWM-0.19%fightingρ -0.08
VIX+6.71%fighting ↓ρ -0.35
ρ = direction-and-magnitude proxy (mock). Real rolling beta + correlation in Phase 2 with live feeds.

Gap Analysis

Gap fill rejected

Gap fill rejected. Continuation likely if VWAP holds.

Gap %+1.37%Gap $+24.96Open / Prev close1850.00 / 1825.04Premarket H/L1900.33 / 1825.81Above PM highRVOL2.0×
Gap fill progress
0% (held)0% filled100% (closed)

Stop & Target Planner

Tied to market structure — invalidates the thesis when broken
Distance can be inconsistent; sometimes too wide for risk
Project the prior leg from breakout point
Entry
1863.07
Stop
1810.19
Target
1968.83
Stop dist
52.88
Target dist
105.76
R/R
2.00

Market Structure

MTF 50
Multi-TF alignment
Conflicting (5m / 1h)
5m: above 9-MA · 1h: below 9-MA
Last candle
marubozu (bear)
close at lows (bear strength)
Room to target
Tight
Only -17.15 to next resistance — R/R will be poor on longs
Regime shift
Stable
Stable regime
Liquidity zones (where stops cluster)
30-bar high (resistance)1845.92
30-bar low (support)1751.35
premarket high1900.33
premarket low1825.81
Supply / Demand zones
Supply zone 1781.971781.97
Supply zone 1776.561776.56
Supply zone 1776.321776.32

Key Levels

intradayDay high1915.95-2.84%
premarketPremarket high1900.33-2.00%
intradayVWAP1862.76+0.02%
intradayOpen1850.00+0.70%
premarketPremarket low1825.81+2.00%
dailyPrev close1825.04+2.04%
intradayDay low1810.19+2.84%
Closest level: VWAP @ 1862.76 (0.02% away)

News & catalysts

neutral
Fed minutes show split on next move
FT · 2h ago