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SPY-0.48%QQQ+0.09%IWM+0.21%VIX+5.74%
Closedlive0.8% / 2.0% openSign in
MARA
MARA
22.90
+3.61%
Above VWAPRVOL 0.7× · normal
VWAP22.66Volume17.22MHigh23.84Low21.96
MARA18.955 minBelow VWAP78 candles…
Mock candles · 0 custom levels · timeframe-scaled noiseData from 01:00 AM → 07:25 AM

Setup Detectors…

2 / 28 firing · 5m
mean_reversionScore 55
  • ✓ 2.1σ below mean — extended
  • ✓ momentum slowing (smaller body)
  • ⚠ mean reversion is lower-probability — confirm with structure
Entry zone
18.91–18.99
Invalidation
18.84
Target
20.31
lower_high_formationScore 75
  • ✓ 3 consecutive lower highs
  • ✓ from 20.81 → 20.31
  • ✓ strong staircase pattern
  • ✓ price below last pivot
Entry zone
20.21–20.31
Invalidation
20.31
Target
17.59

Mock-signal scanner output (Layer 2 will run real detectors instead)

MARA— Breakout5m2m ago
72
Market alignedR/R 2.9
Evidence:
  • ✓ QQQ aligned strong
  • ✓ above VWAP
  • ✓ volume expanded on breakout
  • ✓ room to premarket high
Entry zone
22.87–22.93
Invalidation
22.73
Targets
23.20 / 23.40
Open symbol

Risk · Position Sizing

MARA
Suggested size545 shR/R2.25Stop distance0.18Real risk$99.84
Quality 53/100
Trade-risk guard: $100.00 max1.00% of account
  • ⚠ stop 0.18 < 0.5*ATR — likely to be stopped by noise

VWAP Status

Above VWAP

Above VWAP but no strong trend confirmation yet.

Price22.90VWAP22.66Distance+0.24 (1.05%)ATR multiple0.13×Day high23.84Day low21.96
−2 ATRVWAP+2 ATR

Spread & Liquidity

Bid
22.87
Spread
0.06
0.262% of price
Ask
22.93
wide spreadavg trade 883 sh
Slippage simulator
Slippage / share$0.033Total slippage cost$3.34Avg 1m volume44.2KLiquidity-safe size2207 sh
within liquidity

Market Context

Mixed — independent move
SPY-0.48%fightingρ -0.13
QQQ+0.09%alignedρ 0.02
IWM+0.21%alignedρ 0.06
VIX+5.74%fighting ↓ρ -0.63
ρ = direction-and-magnitude proxy (mock). Real rolling beta + correlation in Phase 2 with live feeds.

Gap Analysis

Low quality

Gap up on weak RVOL — usually unsustainable. Wait for confirmation.

Gap %+4.79%Gap $+1.05Open / Prev close22.97 / 21.92Premarket H/L23.36 / 22.44Above PM high—RVOL0.7×
Gap fill progress
0% (held)7% filled100% (closed)

Stop & Target Planner

Tied to market structure — invalidates the thesis when broken
⚠ Distance can be inconsistent; sometimes too wide for risk
Project the prior leg from breakout point
Entry
22.90
Stop
21.96
Target
24.78
Stop dist
0.94
Target dist
1.88
R/R
2.00

Market Structure

MTF 35
Multi-TF alignment
Both 5m + 1h bearish
5m: below 9-MA · 1h: below 9-MA
Last candle
neutral
Room to target
Tight
Only -2.59 to next resistance — R/R will be poor on longs
Regime shift
Stable
Stable regime
Liquidity zones (where stops cluster)
● 30-bar high (resistance)20.31
● 30-bar low (support)18.83
● premarket high23.36
● premarket low22.44
Supply / Demand zones
▲ Demand zone 20.3720.37
▼ Supply zone 19.6719.67
▼ Supply zone 19.4019.40

Key Levels

intradayDay high23.84-4.10%
premarketPremarket high23.36-2.01%
intradayOpen22.97-0.31%
intradayVWAP22.66+1.05%
premarketPremarket low22.44+2.01%
intradayDay low21.96+4.10%
dailyPrev close21.92+4.28%
Closest level: Open @ 22.97 (0.31% away)

News & catalysts

neutral
Fed minutes show split on next move
FT · 2h ago